Aleksander Barkov vs Kevin Hayes
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (58% H2H, 33 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Hayes 47.7% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 49-39 in 88 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 84.4%
Defensive zone
Barkov 67.3%
Neutral zone
Barkov 76.0%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Barkov
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
49
-
39
(88 meetings)
49
39
Barkov
Hayes
Last 10: Barkov 6-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
13
11
Barkov
Hayes
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
17
14
Barkov
Hayes
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
19
14
Barkov
Hayes
33 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
47.5% (6,708)
+4.9%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
51.7% (702)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
45.3% (697)
+2.5%
On power play, Barkov has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Barkov
Hayes
Home
53.8% (7,227)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Barkov
Hayes
P1
52.7%
47.5%
P2
53.4%
47.6%
P3
52.9%
47.9%
OT
53.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 18:58 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 08:43 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |