Aleksander Barkov vs Nathan MacKinnon
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 68.3%
Defensive zone
Barkov 64.4%
Neutral zone
Barkov 65.9%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Barkov
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Barkov
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
45.8% (755)
+11.2%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
48.3% (60)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
27.6% (29)
+20.7%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Barkov is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Barkov shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Barkov
MacKinnon
Home
59.2% (557)
49.5% (396)
Away
55.1% (695)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Barkov
MacKinnon
P1
56.7%
50.2%
P2
54.8%
43.8%
P3
59.7%
41.4%
OT
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.4%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |