Aleksander Barkov vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Barkov wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 63.3%
Defensive zone
Barkov 64.5%
Neutral zone
Barkov 66.5%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Barkov
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Barkov
MacKinnon
Last 10: Barkov 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Barkov
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
6
3
Barkov
MacKinnon
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
44.7% (1,053)
+8.4%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
36.8% (95)
+26.6%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
65.0% (20)
-14.2%
On power play, Barkov has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Barkov is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Barkov shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Barkov
MacKinnon
Home
58.1% (627)
49.4% (553)
Away
52.1% (705)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Barkov
MacKinnon
P1
53.3%
45.3%
P2
55.0%
42.7%
P3
56.0%
45.1%
OT
60.9%
46.2%
Final 5 min
55.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 19:06 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 02:44 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 02:23 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |