Aleksander Barkov vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Barkov wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 84.9%
Defensive zone
Barkov 69.1%
Neutral zone
Barkov 82.1%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Barkov
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Barkov
MacKinnon
Last 10: Barkov 8-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
3
Barkov
MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
1
Barkov
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
9
4
Barkov
MacKinnon
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
45.5% (1,190)
+11.4%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
56.4% (94)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
40.0% (30)
+5.2%
On even strength, Barkov has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Barkov is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Barkov shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Barkov
MacKinnon
Home
57.4% (540)
47.8% (670)
Away
57.1% (560)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Barkov
MacKinnon
P1
57.6%
45.3%
P2
56.6%
48.5%
P3
56.9%
45.0%
OT
72.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:07 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 16:56 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 11:44 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 04:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |