Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 46.8% vs Hertl 51.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 75.0%
Defensive zone
Barkov 67.0%
Neutral zone
Barkov 71.2%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Barkov
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Barkov
Hertl
Last 5: Barkov 1-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Barkov
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Barkov
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (801)
50.4% (367)
-4.8%
Power Play
52.2% (157)
64.6% (48)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (65)
49.2% (59)
-4.6%
On power play, Hertl has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Barkov is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Barkov shoots left. Hertl is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Barkov
Hertl
Home
45.6% (502)
50.9% (220)
Away
47.4% (521)
52.4% (254)
By Period
Barkov
Hertl
P1
45.9%
52.7%
P2
45.1%
52.8%
P3
47.3%
49.7%
OT
70.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2017 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 04:10 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |