Aleksander Barkov vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 28 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Hertl 54.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 46-32 in 78 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 62.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 60.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 60.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Barkov
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
46
-
32
(78 meetings)
46
32
Barkov
Hertl
Last 10: Barkov 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
14
14
Barkov
Hertl
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
23
5
Barkov
Hertl
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
9
13
Barkov
Hertl
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
53.8% (8,268)
-1.4%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
59.3% (1,975)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
46.3% (806)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Barkov
Hertl
Home
53.8% (7,227)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Barkov
Hertl
P1
52.7%
53.6%
P2
53.4%
54.1%
P3
52.9%
55.3%
OT
53.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 3, 2022 | OT | 03:58 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 10:54 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |