Aleksander Barkov vs William Karlsson
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Karlsson 51.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 61.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 63.2%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 58.2%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Barkov
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Barkov
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
Barkov
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
51.4% (735)
+5.6%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
63.5% (115)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
42.9% (133)
+5.4%
On even strength, Barkov has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Barkov
Karlsson
Home
59.2% (557)
52.3% (524)
Away
55.1% (695)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Barkov
Karlsson
P1
56.7%
50.7%
P2
54.8%
51.4%
P3
59.7%
53.2%
OT
55.6%
41.2%
Final 5 min
59.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |