Aleksander Barkov vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 55.3%). Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 55.2%
Defensive zone
Barkov 52.0%
Neutral zone
Barkov 53.8%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Barkov
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Barkov
Karlsson
Last 6: Barkov 2-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Barkov
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Barkov
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
55.3% (897)
-2.2%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
61.1% (113)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
50.8% (132)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Barkov is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Barkov shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Barkov
Karlsson
Home
58.1% (627)
58.6% (560)
Away
52.1% (705)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Barkov
Karlsson
P1
53.3%
55.8%
P2
55.0%
55.6%
P3
56.0%
55.7%
OT
60.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.5%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:03 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 17:45 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |