Aleksander Barkov vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 24 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Karlsson 51.3% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 38-30 in 68 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 65.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 52.7%
Neutral zone
Barkov 51.8%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Barkov
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
30
(68 meetings)
38
30
Barkov
Karlsson
Last 10: Barkov 2-8 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
16
8
Barkov
Karlsson
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
7
6
Barkov
Karlsson
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
15
16
Barkov
Karlsson
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
51.8% (7,849)
+0.6%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
54.8% (1,048)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
44.2% (1,109)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Barkov
Karlsson
Home
53.8% (7,227)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Barkov
Karlsson
P1
52.7%
50.3%
P2
53.4%
51.3%
P3
52.9%
52.4%
OT
53.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:03 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 17:45 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 15:33 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 19:27 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 06:48 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |