Aleksander Barkov vs William Karlsson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Karlsson 55.6% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 50.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 52.9%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 53.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Barkov
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barkov
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Barkov
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
56.3% (739)
+0.6%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
58.6% (181)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
47.2% (53)
-2.0%
On power play, Barkov has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Barkov
Karlsson
Home
57.4% (540)
56.5% (462)
Away
57.1% (560)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Barkov
Karlsson
P1
57.6%
57.1%
P2
56.6%
55.2%
P3
56.9%
56.7%
OT
72.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | William Karlsson |