Aleksander Barkov vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
Barkov 66.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 62.0%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 53.9%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Barkov
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
58.6% (597)
-3.1%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
57.9% (57)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
51.9% (52)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Barkov
Karlsson
Home
56.4% (550)
59.6% (344)
Away
56.7% (476)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Barkov
Karlsson
P1
56.5%
53.1%
P2
55.5%
62.1%
P3
57.9%
60.1%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.7%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%