Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 36.1% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 37.8% vs Novak 46.5% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 81.7%
Defensive zone
Novak 59.3%
Neutral zone
Novak 78.8%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 75.4%
24.6%
75.4%
Newhook
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Newhook
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Newhook
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
35.2% (355)
43.2% (118)
-8.0%
Power Play
29.4% (34)
47.8% (23)
-18.4%
On power play, Novak has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Newhook is 36.1% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Newhook shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Newhook
Novak
Home
38.1% (189)
50.7% (71)
Away
31.5% (203)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Newhook
Novak
P1
33.9%
44.7%
P2
36.3%
50.0%
P3
33.8%
38.9%
Final 5 min
34.9%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
34.7%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 13:23 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |