Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.8% vs 42.7%). Newhook wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 43.9% vs Novak 45.0% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Newhook 59.4%
Defensive zone
Novak 52.7%
Neutral zone
Newhook 51.5%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Newhook
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (499)
42.9% (198)
-0.2%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
40.9% (22)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Newhook is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Newhook shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Newhook
Novak
Home
39.6% (278)
40.9% (110)
Away
46.1% (280)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Newhook
Novak
P1
37.3%
39.1%
P2
42.9%
43.9%
P3
47.3%
44.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
42.8%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%