Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.8% vs Novak 45.6% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 57.7%
Defensive zone
Newhook 51.5%
Neutral zone
Novak 63.7%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Newhook
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Newhook
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (464)
43.8% (384)
-2.0%
Power Play
35.9% (39)
58.8% (17)
-22.9%
On power play, Novak has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Newhook is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Newhook shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Newhook
Novak
Home
42.4% (236)
46.5% (202)
Away
40.4% (267)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Newhook
Novak
P1
42.9%
49.2%
P2
38.5%
44.2%
P3
43.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
36.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.4%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |