Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.8% vs 41.8%). Newhook wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 44.9% vs Novak 43.4% (+0.0%)
Offensive zone
Novak 59.9%
Defensive zone
Newhook 57.3%
Neutral zone
Novak 54.7%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Newhook
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (149)
41.4% (379)
+0.2%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
46.9% (32)
-26.9%
On power play, Novak has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Newhook is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Newhook shoots left. Novak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Newhook
Novak
Home
44.1% (93)
42.6% (195)
Away
38.9% (72)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Newhook
Novak
P1
36.0%
42.4%
P2
37.9%
39.2%
P3
52.1%
44.7%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
35.1%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%