Scouting Report
Alex Newhook holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 47.1% vs Novak 43.5% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 54.6%
Defensive zone
Newhook 78.9%
Neutral zone
Newhook 60.2%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Newhook
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Newhook
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Novak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (419)
40.7% (460)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
61.5% (39)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On even strength, Newhook has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Newhook is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Newhook shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Newhook
Novak
Home
45.1% (246)
47.0% (236)
Away
48.0% (246)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Newhook
Novak
P1
44.7%
43.1%
P2
49.7%
43.1%
P3
43.9%
40.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
46.5%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:44 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |