Scouting Report
Alex Tuch holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 48.0% vs Marchand 45.4% (+5.0%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 59.7%
Defensive zone
Tuch 60.0%
Neutral zone
Marchand 52.7%
Result
Brad Marchand favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Tuch
Marchand
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Marchand
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (17)
31.0% (29)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Marchand has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchand shoots left. Tuch is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Tuch shoots right. Marchand is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Tuch
Marchand
Home
44.4% (9)
42.1% (19)
Away
35.7% (14)
27.3% (22)
By Period
Tuch
Marchand
P1
66.7%
31.6%
P2
42.9%
28.6%
P3
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
0.0%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
39.1%
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
34.1%