Scouting Report
Alex Tuch holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Marchand shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Marchand 40.3% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Tuch 52.1%
Defensive zone
Tuch 53.3%
Neutral zone
Tuch 51.2%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Tuch
Marchand
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Marchand
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
36.6% (473)
+2.1%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
49.3% (146)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
31.8% (66)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Tuch has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchand shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Tuch shoots right. Marchand is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Tuch
Marchand
Home
42.1% (394)
39.9% (363)
Away
38.8% (402)
37.6% (322)
By Period
Tuch
Marchand
P1
44.7%
41.3%
P2
40.6%
35.0%
P3
36.0%
39.2%
OT
27.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
39.0%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.8%