Scouting Report
Alex Tuch holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Marchand shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.1% vs Marchand 48.7% (+2.5%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 54.4%
Defensive zone
Tuch 66.8%
Neutral zone
Tuch 55.0%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Tuch
Marchand
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Marchand
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
22.2% (9)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
75.0% (4)
-26.0%
On penalty kill, Marchand has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchand shoots left. Tuch is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Tuch shoots right. Marchand is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Home / Away
Tuch
Marchand
Home
47.1% (102)
37.5% (8)
Away
33.7% (86)
40.0% (5)
By Period
Tuch
Marchand
P1
41.5%
28.6%
P2
43.3%
40.0%
P3
37.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.5%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.5%