Scouting Report
Brad Marchand holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 34.5% vs left-shot opponents — Marchand shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.9% vs Marchand 47.7% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 57.7%
Defensive zone
Tuch 58.8%
Neutral zone
Tuch 53.0%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Tuch
Marchand
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Marchand
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (65)
44.4% (36)
-2.9%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
41.7% (12)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (34)
42.9% (7)
-1.7%
On power play, Marchand has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchand shoots left. Tuch is 34.5% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Tuch shoots right. Marchand is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Tuch
Marchand
Home
34.8% (46)
46.2% (26)
Away
44.1% (59)
41.4% (29)
By Period
Tuch
Marchand
P1
48.6%
44.8%
P2
43.9%
30.8%
P3
25.0%
55.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
30.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.0%
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
43.6%