Scouting Report
Alex Tuch holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Marchand shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 46.9% vs Marchand 45.9% (+4.1%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 50.2%
Defensive zone
Tuch 50.8%
Neutral zone
Tuch 54.5%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Tuch
Marchand
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Marchand
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (59)
29.7% (37)
+14.4%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
62.5% (16)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
25.0% (4)
+8.3%
On power play, Marchand has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchand shoots left. Tuch is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Tuch shoots right. Marchand is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Home / Away
Tuch
Marchand
Home
46.9% (32)
43.3% (30)
Away
39.5% (43)
33.3% (27)
By Period
Tuch
Marchand
P1
56.3%
50.0%
P2
35.5%
45.0%
P3
27.3%
13.3%
Final 5 min
57.9%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.7%
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.6%