Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 48.0% vs Larkin 52.1% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 50.5%
Defensive zone
Tuch 55.7%
Neutral zone
Tuch 54.4%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Tuch
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tuch
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Tuch
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (17)
51.8% (903)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
47.4% (76)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Tuch is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Tuch shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Tuch
Larkin
Home
44.4% (9)
55.6% (662)
Away
35.7% (14)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Tuch
Larkin
P1
66.7%
49.9%
P2
42.9%
52.7%
P3
20.0%
53.0%
Final 5 min
0.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
39.1%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |