Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 48.0% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-17.7%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 57.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 62.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 60.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Tuch
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (17)
56.6% (1,064)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
54.0% (261)
-20.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Tuch is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Tuch shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Tuch
O'Reilly
Home
44.4% (9)
54.9% (801)
Away
35.7% (14)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Tuch
O'Reilly
P1
66.7%
58.0%
P2
42.9%
56.7%
P3
20.0%
55.4%
Final 5 min
0.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
39.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%