Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.1% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-14.7%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 79.9%
Defensive zone
Tuch 57.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 55.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Tuch
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
56.2% (983)
-16.6%
Power Play
30.8% (26)
55.5% (254)
-24.7%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
52.0% (102)
-3.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Tuch is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Tuch shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Tuch
O'Reilly
Home
47.1% (102)
56.2% (697)
Away
33.7% (86)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Tuch
O'Reilly
P1
41.5%
54.5%
P2
43.3%
55.5%
P3
37.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
39.5%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%