Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 45.3% vs Ryan 54.9% (-13.2%)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 73.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 73.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 55.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Kerfoot
Ryan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (131)
60.2% (387)
-15.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
28.6% (7)
+71.4%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
43.2% (118)
-8.4%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Kerfoot is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Kerfoot shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Ryan
Home
49.5% (107)
56.7% (254)
Away
32.4% (71)
55.0% (258)
By Period
Kerfoot
Ryan
P1
38.2%
56.9%
P2
47.4%
51.7%
P3
40.4%
59.2%
Final 5 min
33.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
42.7%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%