Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Ryan 54.6% (-7.9%)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 78.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 69.4%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 51.3%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Kerfoot
Ryan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
60.8% (263)
-10.4%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
100.0% (1)
-54.8%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
46.2% (145)
-7.0%
On power play, Ryan has a +54.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Kerfoot is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (334).
Kerfoot shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Ryan
Home
51.4% (467)
56.7% (201)
Away
43.5% (395)
54.8% (208)
By Period
Kerfoot
Ryan
P1
49.1%
56.7%
P2
42.4%
56.8%
P3
52.7%
53.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%