Alexander Kerfoot vs Derek Ryan
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.8% vs Ryan 55.2% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 56.6%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 50.4%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 51.3%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Kerfoot
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Kerfoot
Ryan
Last 10: Kerfoot 5-5 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
3
Kerfoot
Ryan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
4
1
Kerfoot
Ryan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
4
Kerfoot
Ryan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (2,831)
56.6% (4,102)
-7.9%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
53.2% (342)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
47.8% (649)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Kerfoot is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,375).
Kerfoot shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Ryan
Home
51.0% (1,786)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
44.3% (1,699)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Kerfoot
Ryan
P1
47.2%
55.1%
P2
46.0%
54.7%
P3
50.4%
56.0%
OT
29.4%
58.3%
Final 5 min
48.9%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.7%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:57 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 05:17 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 02:14 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:55 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |