Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 46.9% vs Ryan 50.0% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 72.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 79.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 54.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Kerfoot
Ryan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (100)
50.9% (344)
-5.9%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
75.0% (4)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
45.3% (86)
-10.3%
On power play, Ryan has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Kerfoot is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Kerfoot shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Ryan
Home
47.6% (84)
53.7% (214)
Away
41.0% (61)
46.4% (220)
By Period
Kerfoot
Ryan
P1
50.9%
45.0%
P2
38.2%
50.0%
P3
44.1%
54.6%
Final 5 min
46.9%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
44.8%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%