Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Ryan 57.4% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 54.8%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 51.5%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 56.9%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Kerfoot
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kerfoot
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Kerfoot
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
61.4% (220)
-8.3%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
100.0% (1)
-37.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
51.7% (29)
-3.5%
On power play, Ryan has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Kerfoot is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Kerfoot shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Ryan
Home
57.4% (235)
64.2% (137)
Away
47.9% (259)
55.8% (113)
By Period
Kerfoot
Ryan
P1
53.2%
58.9%
P2
53.3%
62.8%
P3
50.9%
59.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
52.4%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:57 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |