Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 45.3% vs Hughes 38.0% (+8.1%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 64.4%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 60.1%
Neutral zone
Hughes 54.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Kerfoot
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (131)
34.5% (342)
+10.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
42.9% (7)
+57.1%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
25.0% (4)
+9.8%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Kerfoot is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Kerfoot shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Hughes
Home
49.5% (107)
32.6% (187)
Away
32.4% (71)
36.7% (166)
By Period
Kerfoot
Hughes
P1
38.2%
33.9%
P2
47.4%
34.2%
P3
40.4%
36.5%
Final 5 min
33.3%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
42.7%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%