Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Hughes 39.2% (+14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 79.6%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 69.9%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 54.2%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Kerfoot
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kerfoot
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Kerfoot
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
37.9% (623)
+15.2%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
33.3% (33)
+29.2%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
36.4% (11)
+11.8%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Kerfoot is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Kerfoot shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Hughes
Home
57.4% (235)
36.6% (314)
Away
47.9% (259)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Kerfoot
Hughes
P1
53.2%
36.4%
P2
53.3%
35.6%
P3
50.9%
41.8%
Final 5 min
51.8%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
52.4%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |