Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 34.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 46.9% vs Hughes 37.9% (+9.5%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 61.0%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 65.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 56.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Kerfoot
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (100)
34.9% (444)
+10.1%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
50.0% (14)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
33.3% (6)
+1.7%
On even strength, Kerfoot has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Kerfoot is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Kerfoot shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Hughes
Home
47.6% (84)
37.4% (235)
Away
41.0% (61)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Kerfoot
Hughes
P1
50.9%
37.1%
P2
38.2%
33.7%
P3
44.1%
34.8%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
44.8%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%