Alexander Kerfoot vs Jack Hughes

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Alexander Kerfoot holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Kerfoot 49.5% vs Hughes 39.8% (+12.9%)
Offensive zone Hughes 69.4%
Defensive zone Kerfoot 72.9%
Neutral zone Hughes 50.8%
Result Alexander Kerfoot favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Kerfoot Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Kerfoot
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (97)
36.8% (266)
+15.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
14.3% (7)
+85.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
33.3% (6)
-8.3%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +85.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Kerfoot is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Kerfoot shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Hughes
Home
39.2% (51)
35.1% (148)
Away
57.1% (63)
37.4% (131)
By Period
Kerfoot
Hughes
P1
51.1%
43.0%
P2
51.6%
28.7%
P3
44.4%
35.2%
Final 5 min
55.0%
28.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%
53.5%
49.1%
Hughes
38.0%
36.0%
36.2%