Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Hughes 40.3% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 70.3%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 75.6%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 54.7%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Kerfoot
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kerfoot
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Kerfoot
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
35.6% (281)
+14.8%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
50.0% (36)
-4.8%
On even strength, Kerfoot has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Kerfoot is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Kerfoot shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Hughes
Home
51.4% (467)
38.4% (198)
Away
43.5% (395)
35.3% (119)
By Period
Kerfoot
Hughes
P1
49.1%
44.3%
P2
42.4%
34.2%
P3
52.7%
34.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |