Alexander Kerfoot vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.8% vs Pageau 54.8% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 19-3 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 91.1%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 93.3%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 91.4%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 92.3%
92.3%
7.7%
Kerfoot
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
19
(22 meetings)
3
19
Kerfoot
Pageau
Last 10: Kerfoot 0-10 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
5
Kerfoot
Pageau
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
10
Kerfoot
Pageau
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
4
Kerfoot
Pageau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (2,831)
55.7% (9,486)
-7.0%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
57.0% (1,002)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
49.6% (2,069)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Kerfoot is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,375).
Kerfoot shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Pageau
Home
51.0% (1,786)
56.3% (6,214)
Away
44.3% (1,699)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Kerfoot
Pageau
P1
47.2%
54.6%
P2
46.0%
56.3%
P3
50.4%
53.5%
OT
29.4%
54.4%
Final 5 min
48.9%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.7%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 01:03 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 3 | 18:33 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 15:45 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |