Alexander Kerfoot vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 49.5% vs Pageau 58.8% (-10.6%)
Offensive zone
Pageau 52.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 62.3%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 53.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Kerfoot
Pageau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (97)
59.1% (687)
-6.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
69.4% (36)
+30.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
60.1% (213)
-35.1%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Kerfoot is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (55).
Kerfoot shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Pageau
Home
39.2% (51)
57.8% (377)
Away
57.1% (63)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Kerfoot
Pageau
P1
51.1%
54.1%
P2
51.6%
62.1%
P3
44.4%
61.8%
Final 5 min
55.0%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
49.1%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%