Alexander Kerfoot vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Pageau 58.7% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 83.0%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 82.4%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 80.4%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Kerfoot
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Kerfoot
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Kerfoot
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Kerfoot
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Kerfoot
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
59.6% (711)
-6.5%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
64.0% (114)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
56.4% (163)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Kerfoot is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Kerfoot shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Pageau
Home
57.4% (235)
59.3% (506)
Away
47.9% (259)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Kerfoot
Pageau
P1
53.2%
56.8%
P2
53.3%
64.4%
P3
50.9%
56.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.4%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 01:03 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |