Alexander Kerfoot vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 45.3% vs Pageau 55.0% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 67.4%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 58.7%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 65.5%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Kerfoot
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Kerfoot
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Kerfoot
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kerfoot
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Kerfoot
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (131)
55.8% (1,000)
-10.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.6% (182)
+43.4%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
51.2% (170)
-16.4%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +43.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Kerfoot is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Kerfoot shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Pageau
Home
49.5% (107)
57.1% (674)
Away
32.4% (71)
53.5% (678)
By Period
Kerfoot
Pageau
P1
38.2%
56.9%
P2
47.4%
54.5%
P3
40.4%
54.7%
Final 5 min
33.3%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
42.7%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |