Alexander Kerfoot vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Pageau 55.0% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 88.7%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 76.9%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 77.1%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Kerfoot
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Kerfoot
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
3
Kerfoot
Pageau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Kerfoot
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
57.1% (905)
-6.7%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
55.2% (116)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
48.0% (204)
-8.8%
On power play, Pageau has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Kerfoot is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (334).
Kerfoot shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Pageau
Home
51.4% (467)
57.0% (618)
Away
43.5% (395)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Kerfoot
Pageau
P1
49.1%
54.4%
P2
42.4%
61.0%
P3
52.7%
51.0%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |