Alexander Kerfoot vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 46.9% vs Pageau 56.7% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 88.0%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 60.0%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 76.7%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Kerfoot
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kerfoot
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Kerfoot
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Kerfoot
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (100)
58.8% (889)
-13.8%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
58.2% (182)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
48.6% (185)
-13.6%
On even strength, Pageau has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Kerfoot is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Kerfoot shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Pageau
Home
47.6% (84)
59.0% (595)
Away
41.0% (61)
55.7% (661)
By Period
Kerfoot
Pageau
P1
50.9%
58.9%
P2
38.2%
57.9%
P3
44.1%
55.6%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.9%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
44.8%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |