Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kerfoot wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.5% vs Hayes 50.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 53.4%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 51.0%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 52.4%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Kerfoot
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Kerfoot
Hayes
Last 10: Kerfoot 3-7 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
4
Kerfoot
Hayes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kerfoot
Hayes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kerfoot
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (372)
51.3% (672)
-4.0%
Power Play
46.4% (28)
50.0% (78)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
40.8% (76)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kerfoot is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Kerfoot shoots left. Hayes is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Hayes
Home
53.2% (216)
52.0% (404)
Away
39.8% (191)
48.6% (422)
By Period
Kerfoot
Hayes
P1
43.2%
50.7%
P2
46.6%
50.2%
P3
51.0%
49.8%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
46.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 10:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 9, 2019 | OT | 01:40 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 05:03 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |