Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Hayes 51.7% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 60.6%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 63.4%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 54.1%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Kerfoot
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kerfoot
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Kerfoot
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
51.6% (386)
+1.5%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
53.2% (47)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
60.0% (20)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kerfoot is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Kerfoot shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Hayes
Home
57.4% (235)
50.5% (200)
Away
47.9% (259)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Kerfoot
Hayes
P1
53.2%
58.8%
P2
53.3%
49.3%
P3
50.9%
48.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
52.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:06 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |