Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Hayes 56.3% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 54.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 67.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 66.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Kerfoot
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kerfoot
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kerfoot
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
56.6% (724)
-6.2%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
57.0% (79)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
65.7% (35)
-26.5%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kerfoot is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Kerfoot shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Hayes
Home
51.4% (467)
58.0% (405)
Away
43.5% (395)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Kerfoot
Hayes
P1
49.1%
54.7%
P2
42.4%
55.7%
P3
52.7%
60.2%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 08:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |