Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 49.5% vs Hayes 42.7% (+13.3%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 63.9%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 63.1%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 50.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Kerfoot
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (97)
31.9% (91)
+20.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
64.3% (14)
+35.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
0.0% (1)
+25.0%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kerfoot is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Kerfoot shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Hayes
Home
39.2% (51)
30.6% (49)
Away
57.1% (63)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Kerfoot
Hayes
P1
51.1%
22.9%
P2
51.6%
40.0%
P3
44.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.0%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
49.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%