Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.7% vs 42.8%). Kerfoot wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 45.3% vs Hayes 43.8% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 56.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 56.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 59.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Kerfoot
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kerfoot
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Kerfoot
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (131)
42.7% (478)
+2.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
42.9% (98)
+57.1%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
45.2% (31)
-10.4%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kerfoot is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Kerfoot shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Hayes
Home
49.5% (107)
43.5% (232)
Away
32.4% (71)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Kerfoot
Hayes
P1
38.2%
40.1%
P2
47.4%
44.8%
P3
40.4%
42.4%
Final 5 min
33.3%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
42.7%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |