Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 34.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 46.9% vs Hayes 49.5% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 52.8%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 60.2%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 50.3%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Kerfoot
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kerfoot
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Kerfoot
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Kerfoot
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (100)
48.5% (557)
-3.5%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
53.3% (107)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
58.3% (12)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kerfoot is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Kerfoot shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Hayes
Home
47.6% (84)
50.8% (313)
Away
41.0% (61)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Kerfoot
Hayes
P1
50.9%
52.3%
P2
38.2%
47.7%
P3
44.1%
48.4%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
44.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2022 | 3 | 05:28 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |