Alexander Kerfoot vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.8% vs 44.4%). Kerfoot wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 46.9% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 51.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 67.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Kerfoot
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kerfoot
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Kerfoot
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (100)
44.7% (1,053)
+0.3%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
36.8% (95)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
65.0% (20)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Kerfoot is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Kerfoot shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
MacKinnon
Home
47.6% (84)
49.4% (553)
Away
41.0% (61)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Kerfoot
MacKinnon
P1
50.9%
45.3%
P2
38.2%
42.7%
P3
44.1%
45.1%
OT
100.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
46.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
44.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |