Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 45.3% vs Hertl 52.3% (-9.8%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 53.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 56.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Kerfoot
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (131)
51.6% (1,084)
-6.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
61.0% (246)
+39.0%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
44.1% (136)
-9.3%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +39.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kerfoot is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Kerfoot shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Hertl
Home
49.5% (107)
55.2% (696)
Away
32.4% (71)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Kerfoot
Hertl
P1
38.2%
55.4%
P2
47.4%
54.8%
P3
40.4%
48.9%
Final 5 min
33.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
42.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%