Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Hertl 55.4% (-3.5%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 72.3%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 72.1%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 51.3%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Kerfoot
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
54.1% (717)
-1.0%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
61.9% (210)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
58.1% (31)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kerfoot is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Kerfoot shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Hertl
Home
57.4% (235)
58.1% (492)
Away
47.9% (259)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Kerfoot
Hertl
P1
53.2%
57.1%
P2
53.3%
54.0%
P3
50.9%
56.6%
Final 5 min
51.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
52.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%