Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 34.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 46.9% vs Hertl 54.5% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 55.7%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 58.1%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 54.9%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Kerfoot
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kerfoot
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kerfoot
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (100)
54.1% (1,117)
-9.1%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
59.8% (296)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
34.4% (32)
+0.6%
On even strength, Hertl has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kerfoot is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Kerfoot shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Hertl
Home
47.6% (84)
54.3% (709)
Away
41.0% (61)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Kerfoot
Hertl
P1
50.9%
51.6%
P2
38.2%
53.6%
P3
44.1%
58.6%
OT
100.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
46.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
44.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:15 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |